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Canada's Economy Rebounds With 0.5% GDP Gain in April

Economists say the rise was driven by a jump in oil and gas output, may be temporary because monthly GDP is prone to revision, with downside risk from U.S. tariffs, the USMCA review.

Overview

  • Statistics Canada confirmed Tuesday that real GDP rose 0.5 percent in April, the biggest monthly gain in nine months and a reversal of March’s 0.1 percent contraction.
  • The mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction sector surged 2.9 percent in April and accounted for a large share of the monthly increase.
  • Fourteen of 20 industrial sectors expanded in April, with goods-producing industries up 1.2 percent and services-producing industries up 0.3 percent.
  • StatsCan provided a preliminary estimate that GDP likely rose 0.1 percent in May, but economists caution single-month readings can be volatile and are often revised.
  • Analysts warn that the rebound eases immediate talk of a technical recession yet may not signal durable growth because energy output is lumpy and U.S. tariffs plus the pending USMCA review are weighing on investment and hiring.