Overview
- Voters in the Toronto seats of Scarborough Southwest and University—Rosedale and in Quebec’s Terrebonne are casting ballots Monday in by-elections that could tip the Liberals into a majority, with results expected tonight.
- The party entered the day with 171 of 343 seats after five opposition defections. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre called the floor crossings a betrayal of voters.
- Winning any one seat would reach the technical majority, and holding both Toronto ridings would likely lift the Liberals to 173 for a sturdier working edge.
- Terrebonne is a rerun after the Supreme Court annulled a one-vote Liberal win because some mail-in ballots carried the wrong return address, and the Bloc Québécois is pressing hard to retake the seat.
- A majority would let the government change standing orders to reshape committees and move bills without relying on opposition votes, while the Speaker’s tie-breaking role means 173 seats is the safer target than 172.