Overview
- The Trump administration this month invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 to propose 50% duties on a wide list of Canadian goods that are set to take effect on Aug. 19 if no deal is struck.
- Ottawa has intensified diplomacy, sending Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc and chief negotiator Janice Charette to Washington this week to try to avert the duties.
- The measure targets about C$28 billion in exports, including liquor, dairy, cement, honey, hockey sticks and some wood products, while excluding energy, potash, fish and critical minerals.
- New government data and business surveys show early economic pain: Canadian travel to the U.S. fell roughly 25% in 2025, firms report delayed investments, and provincial economies in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. are most exposed.
- Public pressure is rising in Canada, with polls showing a majority favoring counter‑tariffs, and Ottawa warning it will consider a full range of responses if duties take effect, including retaliatory measures and litigation.