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Canada Models U.S. Invasion Scenario, Weighs Asymmetric Resistance

Officials say the exercise is a strategic stress test rather than an operational plan.

Overview

  • The Globe and Mail reported that the Canadian Armed Forces built a theoretical model for a potential U.S. assault, the first such exercise against its ally in more than a century.
  • Planners assessed that U.S. forces could seize key Canadian strategic positions within days, potentially in less than a week.
  • Given a conventional capability gap, the model explores insurgent methods including ambushes, sabotage, drone strikes and improvised explosive devices to raise occupation costs.
  • Sources and outside experts cited across reports say an American invasion is considered unlikely, and binational cooperation through NORAD continues.
  • The Defence Department did not immediately comment, and separate reporting says Ottawa is considering a small troop presence in Greenland alongside European exercises, which remains unconfirmed.