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Canada Inflation Slows to 1.8% in February Ahead of BoC Rate Decision

The drop reflects fading base effects from last year's GST/HST tax holiday.

Overview

  • Consumer prices rose 0.5% month over month in February, below the 0.7% increase economists expected.
  • Statistics Canada said March will be the final CPI reading influenced by the sales-tax holiday base effect.
  • Bank of Canada core gauges CPI-trim and CPI-median were both 2.3%, indicating underlying pressures near the 2% target.
  • Gasoline prices were down 14.2% year over year due to last April’s carbon-tax removal, though pump prices have climbed in recent weeks with the Middle East war.
  • The Bank of Canada has kept its policy rate at 2.25% and will offer fresh guidance on inflation pressures at this week’s decision.