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California Governor’s Race Turbulence Raises Fears of a Top-Two Shutout for Democrats

The top-two primary rules could send two Republicans to November, risking lower turnout for key House races.

Overview

  • Democrats warn that two RepublicansChad Bianco and Steve Hilton — could take both runoff spots under California’s top-two system as dozens of Democratic candidates split the vote.
  • Party leaders are pushing consolidation after weeks of discord, and outside simulations now put the chance of a Democratic lockout near 17% to 20%, according to the Los Angeles Times.
  • A major televised debate was canceled after selection rules produced an all-white lineup, and USC said the furor over access had become a distraction from voter issues.
  • State Democratic chair Rusty Hicks publicly urged lower-polling Democrats to quit the race in hopes of unifying support before vote-by-mail begins.
  • Rep. Eric Swalwell said Trump tried to sway the contest after reports that officials sought FBI records from a decade-old probe that brought no charges, while Bianco paused an election-fraud inquiry after seizing over half a million 2025 ballots drew legal challenges.