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California Democrats Largely Ignore Chair’s Plea to Thin Governor’s Race

Hicks sets an April 15 viability cutoff to head off a potential top-two lockout.

Overview

  • Eight leading Democrats filed to appear on the June 2 ballot after Rusty Hicks urged nonviable campaigns to stand down, with only Ian Calderon exiting and endorsing Eric Swalwell.
  • Recent PPIC polling shows a five-way cluster led by Democrats Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell, and Tom Steyer alongside Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, heightening concerns about GOP consolidation.
  • Several Democrats criticized the plea as unfair to candidates of color, with Tony Thurmond and Xavier Becerra objecting to pressure they say falls disproportionately on them.
  • Hicks warned that California’s top-two system could shut Democrats out of the November ballot, potentially depressing turnout and jeopardizing efforts to retake the U.S. House under the new map.
  • A Democratic data model cited by CalMatters now estimates the lockout risk as high as 28% after a minor GOP withdrawal, as party groups weigh endorsements and candidates face an April 15 show-of-viability marker before May mailings.