Overview
- The Emerson College survey released late this month places Pete Buttigieg first at 18 percent with Gavin Newsom at 16 percent and Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez at 11 percent.
- Former Vice President Kamala Harris and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro each register 10 percent while Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear posts 9 percent and 18 percent of respondents remain undecided.
- The poll sampled roughly 1,000 respondents and reports a credibility interval around ±3 percent with a 432‑respondent Democratic subsample carrying about a 4.7 percent interval.
- Compared with Emerson’s February results, Buttigieg shows a modest rise from 16 percent while Newsom and Harris slipped, but the numbers are too close to signal a settled front‑runner.
- Coverage notes small discrepancies in reported field dates and whether the sample was 'likely' or 'registered' voters, which analysts say limits precision and means the survey should be read as an early, tentative indicator rather than a forecast.