Overview
- The University of New Hampshire’s Granite State Poll shows Pete Buttigieg at 19% in New Hampshire’s early Democratic snapshot, followed by Gavin Newsom at 15%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14%, and Kamala Harris at 11%.
- Buttigieg posts the highest favorability among likely Democratic primary voters at about 81% favorable, with low unfavorables reported.
- UNH state subsamples indicate no single Democratic frontrunner across New England, with Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Buttigieg trading narrow leads in Maine and Vermont.
- On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance leads with roughly 51% in New Hampshire, far ahead of Nikki Haley at 9%, Tulsi Gabbard at 8%, and Marco Rubio at 5%.
- The poll, conducted Oct. 16–21 among 1,547 residents and 602 likely Democratic primary voters, is characterized by UNH analysts as an early snapshot of name recognition in a race where candidates have yet to formally declare and decisions are expected after the 2026 midterms.