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2h ago

Brown Favored in Ohio Primary as Toss-Up Senate Race Takes Shape

Voter discontent over higher costs plus the Iran war is giving Democrats a rare chance in a red-trending state.

In the short term, political gravity, a midterm election cycle shaped by Trump’s second term and frustrations about the cost of living may help Democrats overcome the kind of messaging woes that last lost them control in Washington. 
Chairman U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) leads a Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing on "the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's Semi-Annual Report to Congress" featuring U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) Director Rohit Chopra on the Hill in Washington, U.S., June 13, 2023. REUTERS/Leah Millis

Overview

  • Former Sen. Sherrod Brown, favored in the Democratic primary, is set to face appointed Sen. Jon Husted, who is unopposed for the GOP, in a November special to finish JD Vance’s term.
  • Analysts and recent polls rank the Husted–Brown matchup as competitive despite President Donald Trump’s 11-point Ohio win in 2024.
  • Democrats argue that frustration over inflation, higher gas prices in places like Youngstown, and the U.S. war with Iran is shifting voter mood.
  • A late-April Reuters/Ipsos poll put Trump’s approval at 34% and found only 21% approved of his handling of inflation, a top concern for voters.
  • Both parties are pouring resources into Ohio, with Democrats naming the seat a top target and the Senate GOP’s super PAC pledging $79 million to defend it.