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Brief Lull This Weekend as Atlantic Pattern Poised to Drench France Again Next Week

A low‑latitude Atlantic flow is set to sustain frequent rain with strong winds, raising flood risk on saturated ground.

Overview

  • A short respite brings more sunshine to the north this weekend, while rain returns to the South‑West, the Mediterranean coast and Corsica from Saturday night with snow in the mountains.
  • An active front reaches the west Monday, a stronger system spreads across much of France Tuesday–Wednesday, and another Atlantic front follows Thursday, delivering heavy rain, gusty winds and mountain snow.
  • Keraunos expects a persistently unsettled 10–15 day stretch with above‑normal seven‑day rainfall, most pronounced in the South‑West and near the Alps.
  • Forecasters warn of renewed river rises and flooding as further heavy rain falls on saturated basins, after locally more than 400 mm in January in parts of the Mediterranean coast and Brittany.
  • Temperatures remain mild for early February, generally 2–5°C above average with little to no morning frost in the plains.