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Brazil’s Farm Exports Hit Record on China as Diversification Drive Gains Pace

Heavy reliance on China increases Brazil’s exposure to U.S.–China moves on soy.

Overview

  • Brazil closed 2025 with a record $169.2 billion in farm exports, with China taking 32.7% and driving a $29.0 billion bilateral surplus.
  • ApexBrasil says it has mapped 385 higher-value products for China to shift sales beyond bulk soy, beef, and pulp.
  • Industry leaders warn that a possible U.S.–China soybean deal tied to a planned Trump visit to Beijing could redirect some Chinese buying.
  • Brazil supplied about three quarters of China’s imported soy last year, and sector forecasts point to a potential 113 million tonnes of Brazilian soy exports this year.
  • São Paulo’s agribusiness trade with India reached $906.5 million in 2025, led by sugar and a 160% jump in cotton shipments to 15,000 tonnes.