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Brazilian Economic Pessimism Climbs in March Polls

Fresh Datafolha and Quaest readings show weakening expectations despite low official unemployment.

Overview

  • Datafolha finds 46% say the economy worsened since late 2025, up from 41%, while only 24% see improvement.
  • Quaest/Genial reports 48% perceive deterioration over the past year as optimism for the next 12 months falls to 41% and expectations of worsening rise to 34%.
  • Inflation worries dominate, with 61% in Datafolha expecting prices to increase and 58% in Quaest saying food costs rose.
  • Purchasing power has eroded, as 64% tell Quaest they can buy less than a year ago and 39% in Datafolha expect their buying power to drop further.
  • Perceptions on jobs darken despite IBGE’s 5.4% unemployment rate, with 50% in Quaest saying work is harder to find and 48% in Datafolha expecting unemployment to increase.