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Brazil Savings See R$23.5 Billion Net Withdrawal in January as Stock Slips to R$1.005 Trillion

Selic cuts set to begin in March could alter saver behavior under the savings account’s rate formula.

Overview

  • Central bank data show R$331.2 billion in deposits and R$354.7 billion in withdrawals in January, resulting in the net outflow.
  • The savings stock fell from R$1.022 trillion in December to R$1.005 trillion, with R$6.4 billion in returns credited last month.
  • January’s net withdrawal was 10.3% smaller than a year earlier, when outflows reached R$26.2 billion.
  • Net withdrawals have prevailed in recent years, totaling R$87.8 billion in 2023 and R$15.5 billion in 2024, and the last January with net inflows was 2014.
  • The Selic stands at 15% per year, which makes alternative fixed-income products more attractive, and Copom has confirmed rate cuts will start in March without specifying the size.