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5mo ago

Brazil Poll Shows 45% Oppose Lula’s Pick Jorge Messias for Supreme Court

His confirmation is stalled until 2026 after the government failed to send the nomination in time.

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Atuação do STF é “ruim/péssima” para 44% dos brasileiros.

Overview

  • A Genial/Quaest survey conducted Dec. 11–14 finds 45% disapprove Messias’s nomination, 30% approve and 25% are undecided, with 65% saying they had not heard of the pick (n=2,004; margin of error ±2 p.p.).
  • Support is sharply polarized: 61% of lulistas approve, while rejection reaches 74% among right-leaning voters and 73% among bolsonaristas.
  • Senate President Davi Alcolumbre canceled a December hearing after the Planalto delayed the formal nomination message, pushing the confirmation process to 2026.
  • Alcolumbre and other congressional leaders had promoted Senator Rodrigo Pacheco for the vacancy, underscoring a negotiation that could weigh on Messias’s path.
  • Messias received a favorable opinion from the Presidency’s Ethics Commission on Dec. 15 regarding a potential BrasilPrev conflict, while 51% oppose a Gilmar Mendes ruling that tightens impeachment rules for justices and STF job ratings stand at 33% positive and 36% negative.