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Brazil Enters Autumn With Summerlike Heat as Coastal El Niño Delays Cold

Forecasters point to a coastal El Niño that prolongs rain, delaying the season’s first strong cold.

Overview

  • Through the first weekend of the season, heat persists across much of the country while a cold front brings storms and heavy rain to Rio Grande do Sul.
  • Belo Horizonte recorded more than 53 mm of rain, and civil defense placed four areas under geological risk alerts for landslides.
  • In São Paulo, Friday’s variable clouds and showers give way to a warmer, mostly dry weekend near 30–31°C before a slight cooldown early next week.
  • Seasonal outlooks from meteorological agencies indicate temperatures staying above average through April, with more notable cooling expected from late April into May and stronger polar air intrusions possible in May–June.
  • Regional guidance highlights irregular rain and lingering heat in the Center-West, frequent afternoon storms in the North, and increased maritime swell along the São Paulo coast during the season.