Brazil Coffee Consumption Edges Up as Conab Forecasts Record Harvest

Overview

• Domestic coffee consumption increased 2.44% in the first four months of 2026 compared with the same period last year, reaching about 4.9 million 60-kg sacks.
• The recovery began in March with a sharp month-on-month gain of roughly 10.25% and continued into April at about 3.66%, according to industry tracking.
• Retail prices in supermarkets have decelerated after a peak in late 2024 and early 2025, which analysts link to the recent rebound in household coffee purchases.
• The National Supply Company (Conab) projects production will rise 18% to 66.7 million sacks, a level that would surpass 2020 by about 5.74% and be the largest on record.
• Industry leaders say a larger harvest is likely to reduce price volatility and lead manufacturers to pass savings to stores, which could further boost consumption while specialty, decaffeinated and soluble coffees still show consumer price increases.