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BOJ Holds at 0.75% After Split Vote, Lifts Inflation Forecasts

A weak yen near 160 per dollar lifts odds of a near-term hike.

Overview

  • The Bank of Japan, which decided Tuesday, kept the short‑term rate at 0.75% in a 6–3 vote.
  • Three board members called for an immediate 0.25‑point hike to 1.0%, signaling pressure to tighten soon.
  • New projections raise core inflation for fiscal 2026 to 2.8% and cut growth to 0.5% as higher oil costs bite.
  • The yen trades around 159–160 per dollar as Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama signals readiness to curb sharp swings.
  • Many traders now look for a move to 1.0% by June as Japan’s energy import needs collide with a closed Hormuz strait and oil above $100.