Overview
- On May 21 Board of Peace high representative Nickolay Mladenov published a 15‑point roadmap that sequences civilian governance, phased security transfers, verified decommissioning, deployment of an International Stabilisation Force and reconstruction tied to certified milestones.
- The Board and its report identify Hamas’s refusal to accept independently verified, time‑bound disarmament as the main obstacle to moving from the ceasefire’s first phase to wider Israeli withdrawals and political transition.
- Israel continues to hold roughly 53–60 percent of Gaza territory, and the Board and UN envoys say Israeli actions, including restrictions at crossings, have limited aid access and undermined the plan’s implementation.
- Major NGOs and governments say the plan has not fixed urgent needs: promised donor funds remain largely undisbursed, the target of about 600 aid trucks per day is unmet, only small numbers of medical evacuations have taken place and civilian services are collapsing.
- If the roadmap is not implemented the Board warns Gaza could harden into a permanent, divided territory with long‑term displacement and stalled reconstruction, so key next signs to watch are donor disbursements, UN pressure on both parties and any move to deploy the verification body or stabilisation forces.