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BLS Cancels October Jobs Report, Moves November Release to Dec. 16

A shutdown-stalled household survey leaves no October unemployment rate, reducing official guidance for the Fed’s Dec. 9–10 meeting.

Overview

  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics will not publish a standalone October Employment Situation, so an October unemployment rate will not be produced.
  • October employer payroll figures will be included with the November jobs report, which has been rescheduled to Dec. 16 from Dec. 5.
  • September’s delayed report is being released Nov. 20, providing the last full labor-market snapshot before the Federal Reserve’s Dec. 9–10 policy meeting.
  • The 43-day government shutdown furloughed BLS field staff, preventing collection of the October household survey, which cannot be retroactively reconstructed.
  • Market odds of a December rate cut have been pared back as investors rely more on private gauges, including 232,000 initial claims and 1.957 million continuing claims for the week ended Oct. 18.