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Bitcoin's Outlook: Conditional 10X Case Weighed Against Regulatory, Energy, Quantum Risks

New coverage pairs a bullish adoption-driven path with a sober catalog of threats.

Overview

  • A Yahoo Finance analysis lays out a scenario in which Bitcoin’s value rises roughly tenfold by 2036—to about a $17 trillion market cap and near $880,000 per coin—if adoption grows toward half of gold’s estimated value.
  • Bitcoin’s market capitalization was about $1.7 trillion on Jan. 26, with a hard cap of 21 million coins supporting its scarcity-based store-of-value narrative.
  • Regulatory exposure remains significant, with potential for transaction taxes, tougher licensing for crypto‑only firms, and even future moves to curb or prohibit ownership.
  • High electricity use from proof‑of‑work mining keeps the network in environmental crosshairs and could invite policy pressure.
  • Security worries include the prospect that advances in quantum computing could compromise private keys, while gold’s stronger recent performance highlights lingering investor caution.