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Bitcoin Tests Critical $107K–$110K Support as ETF Outflows and Volatility Jump

A drop below the 200-day average underscores a fading institutional bid following sizable redemptions from spot ETFs.

Overview

  • Bitcoin slipped to roughly $106,900–$109,000 and fell below its 200-day moving average near $107,500, placing price action squarely in a key support band.
  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $536.4 million in net outflows on Oct. 16, led by ARK and Fidelity products, removing a recent source of institutional demand.
  • On-chain data show miners transferred about 51,000 BTC to Binance over the past week, signaling increased potential sell pressure from a major supply cohort.
  • Option markets reflect stress with 30-day implied volatility above 50% and puts priced at a premium, while crypto liquidations topped roughly $700 million over 24 hours.
  • Analysts say a decisive close above about $115,000–$117,000 would help restore bullish momentum, whereas a failure to hold current support risks a move toward $100,000.