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Bitcoin Stalls Below $78K as Derivatives Turn Defensive and ETF Demand Eases

Derivatives data point to risk aversion that limits breakouts.

Overview

  • Bitcoin stayed near $75,000 to $77,000 following Wednesday’s Federal Reserve hold as repeated sell orders around $78,000 to $80,000 blocked stronger moves.
  • Futures markets signaled caution with falling open interest, negative funding that pays traders to stay short, and a wave of long-position liquidations.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a three-day run of outflows into Wednesday, including $137.77 million that day, suggesting institutions paused new purchases.
  • Research from Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode pointed to a possible near-term bottom, while CryptoQuant warned April’s rally leaned on leveraged futures rather than spot buying.
  • More than 10,000 BTC shifted to exchanges over the past week and higher oil tied to U.S.–Iran tensions added another headwind for risk-taking.