Overview
- Bitcoin’s midweek breakout to roughly $74,000 reversed to the high-$60,000s by Friday, erasing about $110 billion in market value over the week.
- Macro pressures intensified as oil jumped toward $83–$85 a barrel, the dollar index climbed above 99, and traders reassessed rate paths ahead of and after the softer U.S. jobs report.
- U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs logged their first solid stretch of net inflows in weeks — about $700 million to $900 million this week and roughly $1.4 billion to $1.7 billion since late February — helping rebuild a structural bid.
- Short-term holders transferred more than 27,000 BTC (about $1.8 billion) to exchanges to take profits, while derivatives data showed rising open interest, increased short hedging on Binance, and options pricing for near-term volatility.
- Institutional links deepened as Kraken gained access to Federal Reserve payment rails, ICE invested in OKX, and Morgan Stanley named BNY Mellon as custodian, even as on-chain signals turned mixed with an IFP bullish crossover but a low Bull Score near 10 indicating fragile conviction.