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Bills vs. Chiefs on Nov. 2 at Highmark as Odds, Models Diverge

Betting markets plus models conflict on both the favorite and the total.

Overview

  • Kickoff is set for Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, with the game on CBS and streaming on Fubo as the Bills enter 5-2 and the Chiefs 4-3.
  • Tickets are on sale starting around $315, with lower-level seats beginning near $435, reflecting strong demand for the matchup.
  • BetMGM lists Kansas City as a 1-point favorite at -120 on the moneyline, Buffalo at +100, with a total of 52.5 points.
  • Dimers’ model after 10,000 simulations gives Buffalo a 59% win chance, projects a 25–22 Bills victory, and identifies Under 48.5 as a value play.
  • ESPN’s Football Power Index gives Kansas City a 56% chance, as outlets frame the meeting as a Mahomes–Allen rematch and potential AFC playoff preview.