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Berlin Poll Upends Coalition Math as AfD Hits National Record in New Surveys

Rising dissatisfaction with governing performance is propelling the AfD to record support across recent national and state surveys.

Overview

  • Infratest dimap’s BerlinTrend (Nov 13–17; n=1,185) for rbb puts the CDU at 22%, the Left at 19%, the Greens at 16%, the AfD at 16% and the SPD at 13%.
  • The CDUSPD government would forfeit its majority in Berlin, making a Left‑led red–green–red coalition mathematically possible under current polling.
  • Only 21% of respondents express satisfaction with the Berlin Senate’s work, the lowest reported rating for a state government in Germany.
  • ZDF’s Politbarometer (Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Nov 18–20; n≈1,207) shows the Union and AfD tied at 27%, a record high for the AfD, with the SPD at 14%, the Greens at 12% and the Left at 9%.
  • A separate Infratest dimap survey in Lower Saxony records the AfD at about 20%—its highest level there—while the SPD and CDU each register 26%.