Overview
- Polls released in late May show Democrat Xavier Becerra surging to about 25–28 percent while Tom Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton are effectively tied for the second qualifying spot.
- Democratic voters delayed returning ballots to try to coordinate support after Eric Swalwell withdrew in April, a shift that helped consolidate donors and voters around Becerra.
- Billionaire Tom Steyer has spent roughly $213 million of his own money on the primary and faces heavy negative ads from a realtor-backed committee and other outside groups.
- Outside PACs and corporations have poured millions into pro-Becerra and anti-Steyer campaigns, and President Donald Trump’s endorsement has helped Hilton consolidate Republican support.
- California’s top-two primary sends the two highest vote-getters to November regardless of party, so Tuesday’s June 2 mail returns and early counts will be decisive for which two candidates advance and how statewide turnout affects other races.