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Barr Edges Ahead in Kentucky GOP Senate Primary With Big Undecided Share

Independent polling highlights a fluid race shaped by money advantages.

Overview

  • An Emerson College survey conducted Jan. 31–Feb. 2 shows Andy Barr at 24%, Daniel Cameron at 21% and Nate Morris at 14%, with 38% of GOP voters undecided.
  • A separate Quantus Insights poll reported Friday finds Barr at 28%, Cameron at 27% and Morris at 17%, indicating another narrow lead for Barr with many voters still uncommitted.
  • An internal Fabrizio, Lee & Associates memo for the Morris campaign reports Morris gaining since August and testing to 42% when respondents are told of Charlie Kirk’s endorsement.
  • Elon Musk donated $10 million in mid-January to Fight for Kentucky, a super PAC supporting Morris, boosting outside spending capacity ahead of the primary.
  • Year-end FEC filings show Barr with about $6.47 million cash on hand, compared with roughly $1.42 million for Morris and just over $630,000 for Cameron, with the GOP primary set for May 19.