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Bank of Russia Cuts Key Rate to 15% as Inflation Eases

Policymakers cite resuming disinflation alongside elevated global inflation risks.

Overview

  • The reduction from 15.5% marks the second cut of 2026 and the seventh since the 21% peak set in September 2024.
  • Annual inflation measured 5.9% as of March 16, according to the central bank.
  • The bank projects inflation at 4.5–5.5% in 2026 and a return to its 4% target next year.
  • Officials report price growth slowed last month after a January bump linked to a value-added tax increase.
  • The bank warns that rising global price pressures and heightened geopolitical tensions, including the Iran war, pose persistent upside risks to inflation.