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Bank of Korea Warns of Growing Housing and Leverage Risks and Signals Rate Lift

The central bank says rising home prices together with faster non-mortgage borrowing could force a near-term policy rate increase to curb inflation and limit financial imbalances.

Overview

  • The Bank of Korea judged the financial system generally stable but warned that a renewed surge in Seoul-area house prices and growing use of leverage are raising systemic risk.
  • Household loans reached 1,993.1 trillion won in the first quarter, with non-mortgage borrowing accelerating and much of that credit likely flowing into leveraged stock purchases.
  • Market stress has risen as the won weakened toward about 1,500 per U.S. dollar and foreign investors withdrew roughly US$83.37 billion of local assets, increasing short-term volatility.
  • The central bank said higher market interest rates should reduce risky borrowing but signaled a likely near-term policy rate increase, a move that will raise borrowing costs for households and firms.
  • Officials warned that tighter policy and volatile markets could push vulnerable borrowers into distress and lift nonperforming loans, so investors and lenders should watch upcoming rate decisions and market corrections.