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Bank of Japan Signals Further Hikes After Lifting Rate to 0.75%

Governor Kazuo Ueda flagged continued gradual tightening on prospects for sustained corporate wage gains.

Overview

  • The BOJ raised its policy rate from about 0.5% to roughly 0.75%, the highest level since September 1995.
  • Ueda said the bank will keep raising rates as economic and price conditions improve, noting expectations for next spring’s pay increases to hold at this year’s levels.
  • Minutes from the October policy meeting show several board members viewed the current rate as below neutral and backed a plan for gradual increases.
  • Reporting indicates long-term yields have risen, with newly issued 10-year JGBs at a 26-year, 10-month high, while the yen has stayed weak despite the hike.
  • Private estimates suggest a small average household benefit from higher rates but losses for indebted households and profit pressure on firms, especially highly leveraged SMEs.