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Baden-Württemberg Race Tightens as CDU and Greens Deadlocked Days Before Vote

Late-campaign scrutiny of CDU candidate Manuel Hagel sharpens doubts over credibility and mobilization.

Overview

  • Fresh polling, including ZDF’s Politbarometer, places CDU and Greens level at 28 percent with voting set for March 8.
  • An ARD Mittagsmagazin clip of Manuel Hagel incorrectly explaining the greenhouse effect and the recirculation of older footage have drawn new criticism.
  • Senior voices inside the Baden-Württemberg CDU fault a tightly controlled campaign operation and report weak grassroots mobilization.
  • Cem Özdemir outperforms Hagel in direct-choice preference surveys, as the Greens narrow what had been a larger CDU lead.
  • Chancellor and CDU leader Friedrich Merz joins final campaign stops in Stockach and Ravensburg, with analysts warning the outcome could carry national repercussions.