Overview
- As of June 12, major operational models and several meteorologists show strong agreement that an expanding Azores high will establish a high‑pressure bridge over Central Europe and trigger a warm spell by mid next week.
- Model runs from ECMWF and US/NOAA ensembles and expert forecasts project widespread highs of about 28–34 °C with regional peaks near 36–37 °C and localized 'Wüstentage' of 35 °C or more.
- This weekend will be transitional with the southwest turning milder and drier and much of the north and east remaining cool and showery according to the Deutscher Wetterdienst.
- The DWD has active warnings for prolonged heavy rain and gusty winds in parts of Bavaria with expected 24‑hour totals often 40–60 liters per square metre, creating local flood and travel hazards.
- Forecasters warn that sustained heat could end in vigorous convection, raising the chance of severe thunderstorms with hail, heavy rain and strong gusts while some models also indicate Saharan dust may arrive with the warm southerly flow.