Overview
- Real Time Big Data shows Omar Aziz ahead in all first‑round simulations for governor with 39% and 37%, followed by Maria do Carmo Seffair at 27%–26% and David Almeida at 22%–19%.
- In tested runoffs, Aziz beats Almeida by 48% to 32% and leads Seffair by 44% to 37%, with a Seffair–Almeida matchup registering a technical tie at 39% to 37%.
- If Aziz is not on the ballot, simulations indicate a technical tie between Seffair and Almeida in second‑round testing.
- For the Senate, Capitão Alberto Neto leads with 23%–24%, while the second seat is fragmented among Eduardo Braga, Plínio Valério, Delegado Costa e Silva and, in one scenario, Wilson Lima tied with Braga at 16%.
- The poll reports high rejection for Almeida at 47% and Aziz at 40%, and it records Wilson Lima’s government at 45% approval and 50% disapproval; fieldwork ran Mar. 17–18 with 1,500 interviews, ±2 points margin of error, TRE‑AM registration AM‑00383/2026, cost R$60,000.