Particle.news
Download on the App Store

Australia and Japan Flash PMIs Cool but Stay in Growth, Price Pressures Rebuild

Reaccelerating cost inflation strengthens expectations for restrictive central bank settings.

Overview

  • Australia’s composite PMI eased to 51.1 in December, extending a 15‑month expansion as manufacturing improved to 52.2 while services slowed to 51.0.
  • Japan’s composite reading slipped to 51.5 for a ninth month of growth, with services at 52.5 and manufacturing at 49.7, the mildest factory contraction in about 18 months.
  • Both surveys reported the fastest input‑cost inflation in roughly eight months and firmer output prices, signaling persistent pricing pressures into year‑end.
  • Employment rose in both economies, with Australia adding staff and Japan posting its fastest job growth since May 2024 alongside rising services backlogs.
  • The prints reinforced policy expectations, including a higher‑for‑longer RBA stance and market anticipation of a 25bp BoJ increase at this week’s meeting, while Citi projected two RBA hikes in 2026.