Atlas/Intel National Poll and Quaest Minas Survey Begin Fieldwork With Results Due Tuesday

Overview

• Atlas/Intel is running a nationwide web survey of 5,000 voters aged 16 and up with a stated two-point margin of error and TSE registration BR-07992/2026.
• The 66-question Atlas/Intel instrument tests government approval, four first-round lineups that include substitutions like Fernando Haddad for Lula, and seven second-round matchups.
• Quaest is conducting 1,482 face-to-face interviews in Minas Gerais in its first gubernatorial poll for the state, commissioned by Banco Genial for R$205,000.
• The Minas questionnaire measures name recognition, rejection rates, first-round preferences across several lineups, and head-to-head runoffs among figures such as Rodrigo Pacheco, Cleitinho Azevedo, Alexandre Kalil, Flavio Roscoe, and Mateus Simões.
• As context, the March 25 Atlas/Intel wave showed Lula leading in a first-round test against Flávio Bolsonaro but trailing him in a modeled runoff, a baseline these new results will update.