Overview
- The Atlantic has produced no hurricanes through early September and would set the satellite-era record if no hurricane forms by Friday, Sept. 11.
- The National Hurricane Center is not expecting any tropical development in the Atlantic over the next seven days, leaving the record threat intact.
- Meteorologists say a strong El Niño is increasing upper‑level wind shear while persistent Saharan dust and cooler waters across the Main Development Region are limiting storm formation by disrupting thunderstorm organization.
- The eastern and central Pacific has been unusually active, producing about 15 named storms and multiple hurricanes, and Hurricane Lowell recently brought heavy rain and damaging winds to parts of Hawaii.
- Atlantic accumulated cyclone energy is at a record low for this point in the season, but forecasters warn the season runs through Nov. 30 and late‑season storms can still bring dangerous rain, surge, and surf.