Overview
- Cristobal quickly weakened to a post‑tropical remnant and is forecast to dissipate with no coastal watches or immediate U.S. land threat.
- The National Hurricane Center reduced development odds for the central Atlantic system AL92 to medium, citing increasing upper‑level wind shear and dry Saharan air that should limit further organization.
- A second Atlantic wave, AL94, still has a modest chance to form this weekend but faces similar hostile conditions as it moves westward.
- Tropical Storm Lala formed Thursday and prompted a Hurricane Watch for Hawaii’s Big Island with forecasts calling for heavy rain, life‑threatening flooding, damaging winds, and very large surf across the islands starting late Friday.
- Forecasters stress that seasonal factors — a strengthening El Niño and persistent Saharan dust — are shifting risk toward the central Pacific this year while keeping Atlantic development and U.S. landfall odds lower through at least the near term.