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At Davos, Elon Musk Sets Aggressive Timelines for AI, Robotaxis, Humanoids and Starship

His projections face technical and regulatory hurdles.

Overview

  • Musk said AI could surpass any individual human this year or next and projected systems exceeding collective human intelligence by 2035.
  • He predicted Tesla’s Robotaxi service would be very common in the United States by the end of 2026, marking an adjusted deployment timetable.
  • He outlined plans for Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robot to begin sales by the end of next year with broader market entry targeted for 2027.
  • He reiterated a goal for SpaceX’s Starship to achieve full reusability this year, claiming potential space-transport cost reductions of about 100 times.
  • He argued that aging is a solvable problem and acknowledged ongoing debate over AI timelines, with Nvidia’s Jensen Huang disputing near-term “god-level” capabilities.