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AST SpaceMobile Slides After Blue Origin Puts BlueBird 7 In Wrong Orbit

The failure heightens execution risk for AST’s 2026 build-out by tying its schedule to Blue Origin’s reliability.

Overview

  • AST SpaceMobile shares fell about 12%–14% in premarket trading Monday following Sunday’s New Glenn insertion that left BlueBird 7 too low to operate and now headed for de-orbit.
  • The company said insurance should repay the satellite’s cost, but the lost time threatens its plan to reach roughly 45 satellites in orbit by year-end 2026 when it needs about 45–60 for service.
  • AST said production continues through BlueBird 32, with BlueBirds 8–10 slated to ship in about 30 days and a 2026 launch pace of one mission every one to two months.
  • Analysts urged caution, with Scotiabank holding a Sell at $41.20 and UBS noting the direct financial hit is small but AST’s progress now depends on New Glenn’s performance.
  • The setback lands as SpaceX’s Starlink expands and Amazon moves to buy Globalstar, and delays could push back direct-to-phone service that carriers and everyday smartphone users are waiting to try.