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ASML Slides Over Past Month as TD Cowen Reaffirms Buy Rating and €1,500 Target

TD Cowen calls the pullback a buying opportunity based on expectations of greater EUV use in next‑generation chips.

Overview

  • Investor rotation out of AI‑exposed semiconductor stocks has pressured ASML’s U.S.-listed shares over the last month.
  • Analyst Krish Sankar highlights increasing EUV layers for future logic and especially DRAM as an underappreciated demand driver.
  • TD Cowen’s model forecasts 60 lithography system shipments in 2026, rising to 68 in 2027 as High‑NA volumes grow and platforms upgrade.
  • High‑NA EUV remains early in commercialization, with ASML recognizing revenue from two units in Q4 2025 as customers assess adoption.
  • Nvidia’s Jensen Huang now projects at least $1 trillion in AI chip orders through 2027, reinforcing multi‑year demand for ASML’s tools.