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Arm Stock Falls After Morgan Stanley Downgrade Over Near-Term AI Chip Risks

The call highlights risk that near-term headwinds could delay returns from Arm's AI chip plan.

Overview

  • Arm, which was cut to Equal-Weight on Tuesday with a $150 target, fell about 3.7% in premarket trading.
  • Morgan Stanley cited weak end-market demand and DRAM memory shortages that could slow growth through fiscal 2027.
  • The bank warned that heavy R&D and engineering spend before meaningful chip sales could squeeze margins.
  • Arm’s move into making its own chips could put it in competition with longtime licensees and risk customer pushback.
  • The downgrade followed Arm’s AGI-focused CPU reveal with Meta and OpenAI as early customers, while Mizuho, UBS, Needham and Barclays kept higher targets.