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ARK Analyst Says Three Protocols Now Capture Nearly 80% of Crypto App Revenue

Lorenzo Valente’s analysis says revenue concentration reflects a shift to selective capital and could lead to more dealmaking and shutdowns as the sector matures.

Overview

  • ARK Invest researcher Lorenzo Valente reports that two platforms account for roughly two thirds of measured crypto application revenue and that adding a third pushes the top share to about 80 percent.
  • Valente says investors are moving capital toward projects with clear product-market fit, making fundraising harder for marginal teams and projects.
  • The concentration shows up in the market: some exchanges have announced wind-downs while other firms are expanding through acquisitions and local launches.
  • Valente expects an increase in mergers and acquisitions, Chapter 11 filings, shutdowns, and acqui-hires as weaker players exit or are absorbed.
  • The shakeout could reduce speculative noise, shift developer and user activity toward a small set of platforms, and change where venture and trading capital flows in the months ahead.