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Argentina’s Parallel Dollar Hits Record as Reserves Slip and Risk Rises

A spike in global tensions and oil prices pushed financial-dollar rates higher and left the central bank buying dollars while gross reserves fell, signaling more pressure on the peso.

Overview

  • The informal 'dólar blue' reached about ARS 1,555–1,560 for sale, setting a new nominal record as official wholesale and retail rates inched up but stayed far below parallel quotes.
  • The Central Bank continued to buy dollars but reported a US$352 million drop in gross reserves to roughly US$48.68 billion, reflecting external payments and valuation losses on assets such as gold.
  • Financial-dollar measures widened: the MEP traded near ARS 1,512–1,520 and the CCL near ARS 1,569–1,579, while the JP Morgan riesgo país climbed to roughly 435–437 and Argentine bonds and ADRs fell.
  • Markets blamed renewed Middle East tensions and a surge in oil for triggering risk-off moves that strengthened dollar demand and raised borrowing costs for Argentina, reducing investor appetite for local assets.
  • Domestic data show weak consumption, and market surveys project gradual peso depreciation toward year‑end with a FocusEconomics median near ARS 1,659 while some firms forecast higher levels, which could squeeze household purchasing power and import costs.