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Arctic Winter Sea Ice Matches Record Low for Second Year, NASA and NSIDC Report

The unusually small, thin winter cap sets up a faster spring melt that will boost ocean heat uptake.

Overview

  • NASA and the NSIDC, in a Thursday update, said the ice peaked at 5.52 million square miles on March 15, a statistical tie with 2025’s record low.
  • Sea-ice extent, which counts ocean areas that are at least 15% ice, was about 525,000 square miles below the 1981–2010 average, extending a decline seen since 1979.
  • NASA’s ICESat-2 measurements show the ice is thinner than usual this year, with weak thickness in the Barents Sea and low ice in the Sea of Okhotsk.
  • NSIDC labeled the 2026 maximum preliminary and warned that late-season weather could still shift the final peak.
  • The low winter cap increases dark open water that soaks up sunlight, threatens ice-dependent wildlife, and is opening Arctic routes and resources with rising strategic stakes.