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Arctic Cold Tightens Grip as Coastal Storm Organizes Offshore with New England Track Still Uncertain

Latest guidance favors a near‑offshore pass, keeping most snow offshore and elevating coastal wind and flood concerns.

Overview

  • Dangerous wind chills from the Midwest and Great Lakes into the Northeast have prompted repeated advisories, including a fourth straight cold weather advisory for south‑central Pennsylvania with lows near or below zero.
  • Forecast models diverge on the weekend nor’easter’s path, with the European model brushing New England and the GFS and Canadian keeping it farther out to sea, leaving a small westward‑shift risk for heavier coastal snow.
  • Strong winds appear likely regardless of snowfall, with gusts potentially topping 60 mph on Cape Cod and around 50 mph along other exposed New England coasts, raising coastal flooding and high surf concerns.
  • Lake‑effect and isolated snow showers continue around the Great Lakes and interior regions with generally light accumulations but slick travel, while central Florida now carries a low‑end chance for brief flurries late Saturday into early Sunday.
  • South Florida braces for its coldest air since 2010 with weekend lows dipping into the 30s in Miami‑Dade and Broward, alongside a high rip current risk and small craft advisories; a gradual temperature moderation is expected next week.