Overview
- Oddsmakers currently favor Texas quarterback Arch Manning to be the 2027 NFL Draft’s top pick, with bet365 listing him at +170 ahead of Oregon’s Dante Moore at +450, according to the New York Post.
- Evaluator Steve Palazzolo said Tuesday that Manning is not throw-for-throw accurate and flagged his front-arm motion as a cause of erratic ball placement.
- ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. said a No. 1 pick needs a completion rate closer to 70 percent, while Manning sat in the low 60s during his first full season as Texas’ starter in 2025.
- Pro Football Focus credited Texas receivers with 22 drops in 2025 and ranked the run game 84th, which reduced play-action chances where Manning performed better.
- Texas added wideout Cam Coleman and running backs Raleek Brown and Hollywood Smothers through the transfer portal to boost his efficiency in what many view as a prove year in 2026.