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AppLovin’s E‑Commerce Bet Draws Bullish Calls as Q1 Test Nears

Analysts say next month’s results could confirm whether the push beyond gaming is starting to pay off.

Overview

  • Wall Street stayed upbeat, with Bank of America reaffirming a Buy at $705 and Macquarie starting coverage at $710.
  • BofA projects e‑commerce net revenue near $90 million in the first quarter, up from about $34 million in the fourth quarter.
  • The bank estimates total Q1 sales of $1.813 billion, above company guidance, while management says gaming is still the main growth engine.
  • Northbeam, a marketing data firm, has not shown clear gains in Axon, AppLovin’s AI ad engine, share of advertiser budgets since January.
  • AppLovin rolled out new‑customer and new‑visitor campaign types and a referral self‑serve push that led to more than 3,000 pixel installs.