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AppLovin Rises as Strong Q1 and Morgan Stanley Note Reinforce Upside

Morgan Stanley said a large gap in ad conversion rates gives AppLovin room to grow and that view helped push shares higher.

Overview

  • AppLovin reported first-quarter revenue of $1.842 billion, up 59% year over year, and net income of $1.206 billion, more than double the prior year.
  • Morgan Stanley reaffirmed an overweight rating and a $720 price target, implying about 27% upside from the recent close.
  • Investors responded to the earnings and the Morgan Stanley note by bidding the stock up roughly 10.4% to $567.83 on Wednesday.
  • The analyst case centers on a large conversion-rate gap versus market leaders — Morgan Stanley described roughly a 10x shortfall and said most AppLovin ads do not yet convert to sales, creating room to raise monetization.
  • If conversion rates improve, analysts say AppLovin could sustain above-market revenue gains and lift investor returns, while the price moves show how high-profile analyst notes can amplify quarterly results.