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Antarctic Grounding Line Has Lost About 13,000 Square Kilometers Since 1992, Study Finds

Most retreat is linked to warmer ocean waters that melt ice from below.

Overview

  • Published in PNAS, the satellite synthesis spanning 1992–2025 finds retreat concentrated along 23% of Antarctica’s coast, with 77% largely unchanged.
  • Losses cluster in West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula, including the Amundsen and Bellingshausen seas, the Getz sector, and the Wilkes and George V lands.
  • Several major outlets have pulled back by tens of kilometers, including Pine Island (~33 km), Thwaites (~26 km), and Smith (~42 km).
  • Researchers integrated data from 15 satellite missions, including commercial synthetic‑aperture radar, and estimate an average coastal loss rate of about 442 km² per year.
  • Some northeast Peninsula retreats lack a clear warm‑water cause, and recent gravimetry indicates short‑term continent‑wide mass gains from increased snowfall, highlighting regional variability and sea‑level uncertainty.